Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.285422 17.374902 19.768010 22.739380 26.368933 30.710388 36.377037
2025-05-25 12.413779 14.951055 18.110864 22.424429 28.307614 36.287577 48.379823
2025-06-01 10.848233 13.561832 17.132762 22.335957 30.020648 41.496904 61.159212
2025-06-08 9.567531 12.282626 16.000794 21.688273 30.621312 45.040463 72.489617
2025-06-15 8.760323 11.510862 15.412960 21.651079 32.029956 50.100074 88.438440
2025-06-22 7.850818 10.480394 14.302568 20.604981 31.534353 51.664568 98.150745
2025-06-29 7.072911 9.560505 13.246683 19.478335 30.659004 52.252702 105.971226
2025-07-06 6.500392 8.891903 12.501919 18.754678 30.357349 53.870082 117.135749
2025-07-13 6.626695 9.281670 13.440913 21.011157 36.086686 70.013520 179.600807
2025-07-20 6.435143 9.156262 13.526751 21.756983 38.987059 80.893961 237.729259
2025-07-27 6.029823 8.657116 12.937952 21.161300 38.897634 84.145921 270.608092
2025-08-03 5.877578 8.554618 13.013260 21.845921 41.813338 96.871044 365.146371
2025-08-10 5.560781 8.172087 12.589675 21.537528 42.477705 103.740093 446.388580
2025-08-17 5.275261 7.823480 12.198661 21.251461 43.165071 111.207205 552.923706
2025-08-24 5.045731 7.552961 11.923619 21.169035 44.360613 121.187888 715.821505
2025-08-31 4.769361 7.183911 11.436275 20.567612 44.043441 125.469478 846.712039
2025-09-07 4.587945 6.968434 11.218715 20.533058 45.302119 136.971399 1135.967027
2025-09-14 4.308060 6.564380 10.614402 19.560524 43.669518 135.262138 1227.484716
2025-09-21 4.038778 6.166951 10.000209 18.511571 41.650991 131.104512 1266.293850
2025-09-28 3.831216 5.870274 9.564130 17.836950 40.659807 131.524963 1418.282535
2025-10-05 3.944333 6.152875 10.275203 19.938297 48.797795 184.622435 4324.314465
2025-10-12 3.896501 6.138766 10.394375 20.631439 52.659482 220.062703 10255.882034
2025-10-19 3.731008 5.898222 10.035283 20.077889 52.021904 225.575326 14473.690282